I voted Leave

To many people (maybe most) around the world, the act of ‘Brexit’ looked liked severing off a limb to fall from a mountain to death rather than just perishing at the rock-face. It probably is true because I think there are perils either way, which is why the UK was so evenly split on whether to leave or exit.

I voted to leave, which is a move that bucked the trend of the capital and almost everyone I know who shared their voting aims with me. Why did I ‘shoot myself’ in the foot?

It’s important to remember that EU membership is not a left or right-wing thing. Although the referendum looked like a debate between factions of the Tory party, there was also the Labour Leave group and hostility to the EU has been cross-party for decades. Even Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn was anti-EU, only being pro-EU now in that he preferred reform.

There are of course racists who supported Brexit but that does not mean all Brexiteers are racist (indeed, you’ll find plenty of brown and black Leavers). UKIP gave too much focus on immigration which is but one facet of the EU debate, and instead of talking about the danger of unmanaged numbers, thereby stressing public resources and disserving both migrants and the existing population, we heard swipes at the Polish and the Turks. Anti-racists bought Brexit on either left or right-wing principles and only a few far rightists thought of it as some romantic purging of immigrants. While far-right parties elsewhere are also clamouring for exit, it is ironically EU austerity and unrestricted movement that has helped rather than killed these parties. Labour avoids the immigration debate entirely, and who does that feed?

I understand the benefits of the EU and I didn’t vote with extreme confidence (probably 51% of me!). But I don’t believe the EU would reform (Juncker said so) and I also think the EU project is going to end by the hand of other countries, so we might as well get a head start in diving through the troubles, which I believe are not long-term. Market horrors are due to uncertainty, the markets want certainty, believing only negativity from surprise. We haven’t triggered Article 50 yet and I think by the time we do and have fully exited we’ll have fixed the deals we still want to keep, so it’s like changing to a better phone network. Leavers are by and large anti-EU, not anti-Europe. In fact you get to be open to the world outside the EU too.

While the EU has some benevolent aims (at least in the formation) I’m not comfortable about the inevitability of joining the failed Euro currency, the unconfirmed idea of an EU army (you don’t need a continental army for defence, so it must only be for offence, to aim to be as powerful as the US as an aggressor, bringing terrorism to more European countries), and increasing decentralisation which effectively mutes democracy and benefits elites (who benefits from austerity and who triggered the financial collapse?)

Maybe I voted wrong but I made an informed choice that I’m sticking by. Nothing else we can do unless there’s an overturning of the referendum, but what kind of democracy do we have if we must overturn democratic decisions?

Sure,.there’s also a risk of breaking up the UK too (I don’t want that), but I’m not sure if it’s logical for Scottish independence in order to have the EU, a weaker country like that could become Greece 2. But they deserve another referendum as the terms have changed. Yet the UK is a logical construct for local landmasses, whereas the EU is not even about European countries anymore; the bigger it gets the worse it is.

Irish unity? I think Northern Ireland is too entrenched as a UK territory (though it should never have been taken) for that to happen. I don’t understand why the EU is given too much credit for the peace process.

Finally, TTIP was a bullet that the EU was certainly going to fire at the NHS. I’d rather have a few years of Tory bruising on it than a complete dismantling.

My prediction is that in a few years we’ll be okay, but Brexiteers look like the baddies today. Just have to hope I’m right.

Advertisements

3 thoughts on “I voted Leave

  1. Well that’s a surprise. Mo, I respect your choice and ideas, but the idea of a Brexit makes me shudder. The EU does need reforming, but incredible amounts of time and money has been invested in cooperation – cooperation is a great thing, it’s the one thing that I hope our future will be built upon. The Brexit may end up meaning that many decades of hard and costly work was for nothing. IMHO division is not what humanity needs and the Brexit may set a trend in that direction. Of course I’m probably biased because of (stuff I won’t mention here). I’m actually quite happy with the Euro, I do a great deal of my shopping online in different EU countries and most of the time I’m not getting ripped off by exchange rates that banks charge when I pay in other currencies (like the pound). I understand that all the money printing is far from ideal, but aren’t the other major currencies doing the same thing? And that European army… I don’t know much about it, but it’s supposed to be for defense and I can understand that the EU might not always be happy with its dependence upon NATO.

    You write “what kind of democracy do we have if we must overturn democratic decisions?”. Well I’m going to nitpick: technically the referendum wasn’t a decision, it isn’t legally binding (the UK is no direct democracy). It’s a way for the people to give its opinion. Parliament is not bound by the referendum, it is legally sovereign and has been elected democratically. Of course going against the referendum would be pretty hard to sell to the people.

    I don’t think most of the Leave voters have any idea of the consequences… Nobody knows where this will head. But I’m very curious what’s going to happen next and whatever happens, I hope it will end up improving cooperation, not cause increasing division. (division fits in some people’s agenda – I’m not talking about you, I know you have the best of intentions – but it’s often harmful for humanity).

    • Hi Jan,

      I’ve been told off by a few people and maybe I deserve it. Of course, I hope the future is positive for all. It wasn’t a light-hearted decision. I’m hoping that European co-operation continues without the straitjacket (though I know give and take is part of any deal) of a EU that’s unlikely to reform and wants to be the United States of Europe (http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/683739/EU-referendum-German-French-European-superstate-Brexit). The UK will never love the euro after the Eurozone crisis.

      You’re right that the referendum was only advisory but as you said there’s no point asking a question and then ignore it.

      Leave is definitely unchartered territory but no one knows if the EU will adjust after Brexit or become an increasing liability to all members. I know that leaving is a short-term nightmare, and I hope no more than that.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s